Oftentimes scientists are asked to estimate the number of individuals present
in a community and in what ways individuals are distributed in a given environment
or habitat. As you might expect, some problems are more easily solved than others.
If the question concerns the number and location of ginkgo trees on campus and
only six ginkgo trees are here, the study approach would be simple indeed. If,
on the other hand, the target organism is abundant and widely distributed, things
can get pretty dicey! Here are just some examples of how daunting the task can
be:
An oceanographer might be concerned about the abundance of gelatinous zooplankton
in the upper 25 meters of the ocean surface. Where does one start?
A botanist might be researching the effects of honeysuckle on native plant
species in southern Ohio. It would take a lifetime to count every individual
in Butler county.
A paleontologist might investigate the change in species diversity of brachiopods
in the Upper Ordovician. They say that if every brachiopod were removed from
the bedrock in SW Ohio, we would be about 250 meters closer to sea level!
So, what's the point? Scientists are faced with these types of research questions
all of the time. In most instances, researchers, regardless of their research
question, are unable to sample all there is to sample! It is impossible because
our world is a big place! So, alternative strategies must be developed. Before
any sampling begins, good researchers take the time to develop a
common-sense study design that maximizes the amount of information
obtained and addresses the question(s) at hand. Perhaps the most important part
of a study (besides the research question itself) is the development of an effective
sampling strategy, one that is statistically sound and addresses the needs of
the research question. Sampling Design can make or break a project!
Which leads me to......
The Frisbee Lab--An Exercise in Sampling Design
This is a lab about sampling and the use of basic statistics.
It is also an introduction to the scientific method, data collection, statistical
analyses and interpreting results. I hope you keep this lesson in mind when
it comes to doing your own research!
Suppose we asked you to estimate the number of clovers present, and if there
are preferred abundance locations in Cook field. How would you do it? Is there
a favored experimental technique? In this instance, can one ever count everything?
And, if you had the time, would it be worth the effort? Although we will never
know just how many clovers are in the field, we may be more confident of our
estimates if you develop a good experimental design.
Students Sampling Clovers. What is your guess as to the number
of clovers in Cook Field?
The Tasks at Hand
Come up with two distinctive study designs
that best address the following questions: (1) how many clovers (as judged
by the number of clover leaflets) are living in the field and (2) are there
preferred clover abundance locations in the field?
Articulate each study design. Justify why you did what you did in each
case. Include written explanations, drawings and maps.
Consider the terms random and non-random sampling. Which
type would you employ and why? How many samples, using frisbees as your
sampling tools, would you take? Why? Perhaps a rarefaction curve might tell
you something about the effectiveness of your sampling strategy.
Consider the relationship shown on the graph: How many tosses
does it take before you have reached a plateau of maximum clover
abundance per toss?
Practical Concerns
Make a map of the field. What is the total area of the field in square meters?
square centimeters? What is the area of your frisbee (cm2)? How many frisbees
would you need to cover the field? Show your work!
Apply your sampling strategies. On your map, place the frisbee sampling
location and the number of clovers present for each frisbee toss. How many
square centimeters of the field did you sample with each sampling strategy?
Show your work.
For each sampling design, what percentage of the field did your group sample?
Show your work!
What is the range of clover counts found in your sampling?
What was the mean clover count?
Draw a frequency distribution that illustrates the number of clover tosses (y axis) and the
number of clovers found at 10 clover count intervals (x axis).
The shapes of frequency distributions can tell us many things.
Were your clover counts normally distributed (mean=mode=median) or skewed in their population abundances (shifted toward the y axis [positively skewed] or away from the y axis [negatively skewed])?
And finally, how many clovers do you estimate are in the field? #/square
meter? Show your work!
More Considerations:
Did the clover populations appear to be clumped in specific locations in the field? If so, why do you suppose
some locations had more or fewer clovers than others? Any ecological
explanations? Will we ever know if your clover estimate reflects
the true number of clovers in the field?
How would you sample differently the next time? Did any new questions
arise from this study? How might you apply what you learned here
to your research project?
Comparing Your Two Study Designs
Compare the results of each sampling strategy with one another. Make a prediction
as to whether or not each sampling strategy yielded statiscally similar results.
Use a t-test to compare your data. If there are significant differences in your
comparisons, discuss at least three reasons why these differences might
exist. If the comparisons are not significantly different, discuss these findings
as well.