Due to the sheer number of data collected during the forty-nine days, statistics and how they are interpreted is the key to making sense of our results. As a result, Statview and its various applications were of vital importance to helping us understand our results. For nearly every variable involved in the experiment, a t-test was performed to determine whether that variable accounted for a significant difference in the evaporation rate. In each case, a comparative graph was prepared by Statview to indicate changing trends throughout the length of the experiment in evaporation. In addition to analyzing the results based on separate variables, we also looked at the larger picture to determine how this relates to evaporation in Western Pond. Furthermore, we were able to take the temperature findings and display them in average daily temperature so that the information would make more sense to us. All of these combined statistics form the basis of our understanding of the results.
Display of our results can be complicated due to the great number of variables and pans. As a result, graphs that chart overall trends in evaporation are most effective in helping us to understand what has happened. The raw material was recorded in Statview in various tables and charts. On the surface, the material seems to be simply a jumble of unrelated data, however it can be easily understood with some synthesis and some use of graphs. The data is easily understood when it is displayed properly.
V. Discussion
Our results showed us many things. In most instances there was a significant difference in the data between two or more variables. This was not surprising, as it agreed with our hypothesis, but there were other instances where the results went against what we had predicted.
Going through the different criteria and variables, here are the results:
1. This graph compares water loss in milliliters among pans in three specific environments. According to our data, the control pans inside lost the most water, followed by the open outside pans. The pans in the woods lost the least amount of water. The comparisons of woods versus the inside, and open versus the inside have p-values of .0001. Therefore, there is a significant difference in those two comparisons. Woods versus the open had a p-value of .5958. There is not a significant difference. This could mean one of two things. The environments of woods and open may not have varied enough to make a difference, or environment may not have the effect on evaporation that we had hypothesized.
2. In the graph comparing lab tests, controls, and outside experiments, the data suggests that wind has a significant effect on evaporation. A p-value of .0001 rejects the null hypothesis, meaning that the environments and conditions of the set-ups were significantly different.
3. Graph number three disproves our hypothesis that warmer temperatures increase evaporation. The p-value of .4719 proves that there is not a significant difference in temperature throughout the study. However, due to some experimental difficulties, we feel that it is still possible that warmer temperatures produce more evaporation. It could be that there were more relatively cold days that warm or hot ones. That would mean more total water loss for the cold days, hence the appearance of the graph.
4. According to graph four, surface area plays a part in evaporation rates. Our hypothesis was correct that larger surface area increases evaporation. A p-value of .0001 suggests that the pan sizes were indeed significantly different.
5. Graph five compares water loss under two conditions. It tells us, during the three seasons, among the three locations, the inside pans still lost more water, followed again by the pans in the open. The p-values of .0001 suggest that there is a significant difference between inside and outside pans, but not between wooded and open pans.
6. We do not have a graph comparing water loss during the different seasons under different conditions, but the p-value of .0001 suggests that there is a significant difference between the average temperatures. There is no graph because there was too much information for the program to process.
From our data we were able to determine how much water was lost from Western Pond. We added up our combined water loss, and split them into two categories. The first is for the first twenty-one days when we had five pans around the pond. The second category is for the last twenty-eight days when we had ten pans around the pond. We then set up one ratio for each category. The ratio is the total water loss from pans over the estimated square meters of all of the pans equals 'x' liters lost from the pond over estimated square meters of the pond. Look at the ratios below.
1st twenty-one days
4.563 L/ .19 m^2 = x liters/2100m^2. x = 50,433 L
Last twenty-eight days
10.575 L/ .38m^2 = x liters/2100m^2. x = 59,441 L
Combined estimated loss from pond
108,844 L.
We believe this number to be accurate, because we were able to estimate an amount for a rectangle in the middle of the pond to be around 600,000 L. Look below.
Middle rectangle is 2667cm x 1219.2 cm x 182.88 cm. This is a volume of 594,653,778.432 cm^3. 1 cm^3 = 1 ml. So it is approximately 600,000 L.
For future investigations, it would be interesting to note evaporation rates in more extreme environments. The environments within our study were possibly too similar to register a significant difference, but this may change with environments that are more unique. After our experiment, we are still curious about the effect of temperature on evaporation rate. It still seems logical to us that higher temperatures would yield higher evaporation rates, and indeed our research pointed to that result. Therefore, for future investigation, a more extensive look at different evaporation rates for differing temperatures would be beneficial. Furthermore, the effect of salt and salinity on evaporation would be interesting to observe. Changes of salinity within the water may effect changes in evaporation rates.
According to our study, evaporation rates are affected by various factors. Some of our hypotheses were proven to be true by our data while others were not proven. As a result, there is definitely room for further investigation on this topic.
Cited Works
"A Drought's Unyielding Cycle", by Kenneth Kunkel; Natural History Jan. 1989 pp 48-49
"Do Clouds Provide a Greenhouse Thermostat?" Science News Aug. 1 1992 p.69
"Evaporation from young secondary vegetation in eastern Amazonia", by D. Holscher, T.D. de A. Sa, T.X. Bastos, M. Denich, and H. Folster; Journal of Hydrology volume 193 1997 pp. 293-305
"Forest floor evaporation in a dense Douglas fir stand", by M.G. Schaap and W. Bouten; Journal of Hydrology June 1997 pp. 97-113
"Spatial Variability of Evaporation along Two Transects of a Bare Soil" by R.J. Lascano and J.L. Hatfield; Soil Science Society of America Journal March 1992 pp. 341-346
"Surface energy balance partitioning over rye and oats cover crops in central Iowa" by J.H. Prueger, J.L. Hatfield and T.J. Sauer; Journal of Soil and Water Conservation Third Quarter 1998 pp. 263-268
"The Paths to Rain Forest Destruction: Crossnational Patterns of Tropical Deforestation" by Tom Rudel and Jill Roper; World Development Jan. 1997 pp.53-65
"Third-world debt and deforestation", by James Kahn and Judith McDonald; Ecological Economics Feb. 1995 pp. 107-123
"Waste Not Want Not - With the Help of Evaporation" Filtration and Separation June 1997 pp. 425-429
"How Water Evaporates and Boils." Compton's Electronic Encyclopedia
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